Exuma Bahamas

Exuma Weather

Average Weather Information

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
787880828587888988868279
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
626364667073757574726864
Average Sea Temp - F°
777776788082848484838178
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
1.41.10.91.55.26.03.13.94.76.62.71.9
Number of Rain Days
766711111213131286

Currently: Partly Cloudy: 81F
Currently in Georgetown, BS: 81 °F and Partly Cloudy

9/16/2014 Forecast
High: 85 F Low: 78 F Some sun with a shower

9/17/2014 Forecast
High: 85 F Low: 78 F Partly sunny with a shower

Georgetown - Exuma Bahamas 10 Day Weather Forecast

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

Real Time GOES Imagery - Western Atlantic:

Infrared Ch. 2 Loop, Ch. 4 Loop and Water Vapor Loop

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Arrivals and Departures for Exuma Int'l Airport (MYEF)

Great Exuma Bahamas Tide Tables - Tides & Charts

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

° Celsius    ° Fahrenheit
(Enter Celcius degrees then click the “=” button to convert to Farenheit degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

|Weather Page Top|

NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 160527
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Edouard, located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Wednesday and produce an area of low pressure over the far
eastern Atlantic. Conditions appear conducive for some development
of this system by late this week while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Posted on 16 September 2014 | 12:27 am

Hurricane EDOUARD Graphics

Hurricane EDOUARD 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 16 Sep 2014 02:38:03 GMT

Hurricane EDOUARD 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 16 Sep 2014 03:05:47 GMT

Posted on 15 September 2014 | 10:10 pm

Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Discussion Number 19

Issued at 1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014


000
WTNT41 KNHC 160240
TCDAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

Edouard has not strengthened further.  While the eye has become
somewhat better defined and warmer since the last advisory, deep
convection in the central dense overcast is not quite as cold.  The
intensification phase that the cyclone was experiencing earlier may
have been interrupted by 15-20 kt of southeasterly shear as analyzed
by the SHIPS model output and UW-CIMSS analyses.  Dvorak intensity
estimates remain a consensus T5.0/90 kt from TAFB and SAB, while
UW-CIMSS CI values are around T5.6/105kt.  A blend of these data is
used to hold the initial intensity at 95 kt.

Edouard still has another 24-36 hours to intensify.  Moderately
strong southeasterly shear, resulting from the flow between
a low to the southwest and a high to the east at upper levels, is
forecast to decrease as Edouard nears its point of recurvature.
Near and immediately after that time, the shear and motion vectors
should align, which tends to favor more symmetric convection.  These
favorable factors, despite gradually cooler waters beneath the
cyclone, should allow Edouard to reach major hurricane status.
Drastically cooler waters and a substantial increase in
southwesterly shear beyond 48 hours suggest that a rapid decay of
the cyclone should occur by that time.  Interaction with a
baroclinic zone in 2-3 days should cause the beginning of
extratropical transition, but this process is expected to become
interrupted when the cyclone shears apart and outruns this weather
system.  Edouard is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone in 96
hours, if not slightly sooner, and gradually spin down over the
northeastern Atlantic.  The NHC wind speed forecast is the same as
the previous one through 48 hours and is above all of the intensity
guidance. The forecast is lowered relative to the last advisory
after that time and is near the multi-model consensus IVCN.

Edouard has recently turned north-northwestward and the initial
motion estimate is now 335/11.  The track guidance remains in
excellent agreement through 72 hours.  The cyclone is expected to
turn northward in 12-18 hours when it rounds the western periphery
of a subtropical ridge.  An acceleration toward the northeast, and
then east-northeast, is expected beyond 24 hours as Edouard is
captured by a relatively fast-paced westerly flow over the north
Atlantic.  Near the end of the forecast period, the increasingly
shallow vortex should turn eastward and southeastward within the
flow on the west side of a deep-layer low over the northeast
Atlantic.  The track guidance has shifted noticeably to the left on
this cycle.  However, to maintain continuity, the new NHC track
forecast is only nudged to the left of the previous one, and lies on
the far right side of the guidance envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  16/0300Z 29.0N  56.9W   95 KT 110 MPH
 12H  16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W  100 KT 115 MPH
 24H  17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W  105 KT 120 MPH
 36H  17/1200Z 35.5N  54.3W   95 KT 110 MPH
 48H  18/0000Z 38.1N  50.4W   80 KT  90 MPH
 72H  19/0000Z 40.9N  41.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 96H  20/0000Z 40.0N  36.0W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H  21/0000Z 38.6N  32.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


Posted on 15 September 2014 | 9:40 pm

Hurricane EDOUARD Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014


000
FONT11 KNHC 160240
PWSAT1
                                                                    
HURRICANE EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SANTA CRUZ AZO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               

Posted on 15 September 2014 | 9:40 pm

Summary for Hurricane EDOUARD (AT1/AL062014)

...EDOUARD TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 15 the center of EDOUARD was located near 29.0, -56.9 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 963 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.

Posted on 15 September 2014 | 9:37 pm

Hurricane EDOUARD Public Advisory Number 19

Issued at 1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014


000
WTNT31 KNHC 160237
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1100 PM AST MON SEP 15 2014

...EDOUARD TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 56.9W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. EDOUARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
NORTHEASTWARD TURN WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON
TUESDAY. WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


Posted on 15 September 2014 | 9:37 pm

Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory Number 19

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014


000
WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N  54.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 170SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.1N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 160SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N  32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  56.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

Posted on 15 September 2014 | 9:37 pm

|Weather Page Top|

Weather - Exuma



Exuma Bahamas