Exuma Bahamas

Exuma Weather

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Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
787880828587888988868279
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
626364667073757574726864
Average Sea Temp - F°
777776788082848484838178
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
1.41.10.91.55.26.03.13.94.76.62.71.9
Number of Rain Days
766711111213131286

Currently: Showers: 81F
Currently in Georgetown, BS: 81 °F and Showers

8/22/2019 Forecast
High: 84 F Low: 82 F A thunderstorm in spots

8/23/2019 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 81 F Periods of clouds and sun

Georgetown - Exuma Bahamas Extended Weather Forecast

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Eleuthera Weather Forecast

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

Real Time GOES Imagery - Definitive Weather Satellite Views of the Bahamas and Caribbean:

GOES-East - Regional sector view: Caribbean

GOES-East Image Viewer

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Arrivals and Departures for Exuma Int'l Airport (MYEF)

Great Exuma Bahamas Tide Tables - Tides & Charts

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 220532
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Chantal, located several hundred
miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

A trough of low pressure located over the central Bahamas is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development is possible by this weekend or early next week while
the system moves slowly northwestward toward the Florida peninsula
at 5 to 10 mph and then turns northeastward off the southeastern
coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Posted on 22 August 2019 | 12:32 am

Tropical Depression Chantal Graphics

Tropical Depression Chantal 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2019 02:33:57 GMT

Tropical Depression Chantal 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Aug 2019 03:24:28 GMT

Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:33 pm

Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast Discussion Number 5

Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019


000
WTNT44 KNHC 220232
TCDAT4

Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042019
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019

Chantal's cloud pattern has become quite ragged during the past
several hours with a shrinking intermittently bursting convective
mass remaining sheared to the east of the surface center.  The
initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt and is in agreement with a
recent 0020 UTC ASCAT-A overpass and the subjective satellite
intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB.

There are no changes to the philosophy of the intensity forecast.
Further weakening is forecast through the period as the depression
continues moving through an inhibiting, high statically stable
surrounding environment.  The official forecast calls for Chantal
to degenerate into a remnant low by Friday night, if not sooner,
and is based primarily on the deterministic models.

The initial motion is estimated to be east-southeastward, or 105/16
kt, within the deep-layer mid-latitude westerlies.  Chantal is
forecast to turn southeastward to southward, around the
eastern periphery of a subtropical high, with a reduction in
forward speed, over the next couple of days.  By Saturday night, the
remnants of Chantal is likely to turn toward the west-northwest as
high pressure near the Azores Islands builds to the east of the
cyclone.  The NHC track forecast is a compromise of the TVCA
multi-model guidance and the NOAA HFIP corrected consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/0300Z 39.4N  47.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  22/1200Z 38.8N  44.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  23/0000Z 37.9N  42.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  23/1200Z 36.8N  41.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 48H  24/0000Z 35.9N  41.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/0000Z 35.8N  42.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:32 pm

Tropical Depression Chantal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019


000
FONT14 KNHC 220232
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042019               
0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  

Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:32 pm

Summary for Tropical Depression Chantal (AT4/AL042019)

...CHANTAL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Aug 21 the center of Chantal was located near 39.4, -47.4 with movement ESE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:32 pm

Tropical Depression Chantal Public Advisory Number 5

Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019


255 
WTNT34 KNHC 220232
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042019
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 21 2019

...CHANTAL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 47.4W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chantal
was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 47.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 18 mph (30
km/h), and a turn toward the southeast with a decrease in forward
speed is expected by Friday.  Chantal is forecast to slow further
and turn southward Friday night then drift clock-wise southwestward
to west-northwestward over the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Further weakening is anticipated, and Chantal is
forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by Friday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:32 pm

Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast Advisory Number 5

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019


254 
WTNT24 KNHC 220232
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042019
0300 UTC THU AUG 22 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  47.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  47.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  48.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.8N  44.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 37.9N  42.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 36.8N  41.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.9N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 35.8N  42.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.4N  47.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 

Posted on 21 August 2019 | 9:32 pm

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