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Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
787880828587888988868279
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
626364667073757574726864
Average Sea Temp - F°
777776788082848484838178
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
1.41.10.91.55.26.03.13.94.76.62.71.9
Number of Rain Days
766711111213131286

Currently: Partly Sunny: 78F
Currently in Georgetown, BS: 78 °F and Partly Sunny

10/8/2025 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 78 F A shower and thunderstorm

10/9/2025 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 78 F A couple of thunderstorms

Georgetown - Exuma Bahamas Extended Weather Forecast

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Arrivals and Departures for Exuma Int'l Airport (MYEF)

Great Exuma Bahamas Tide Tables - Tides & Charts

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of America

Tropical Storm Dolly Graphics



Tropical Storm Dolly 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 28 Aug 2026 09:21:46 GMT

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 4:21 am

Tropical Storm Dolly Forecast Discussion Number 4

Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

000
WTNT44 KNHC 280833
TCDAT4
 
Tropical Storm Dolly Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042026
500 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026
 
There has been little change with Dolly overnight. The storm is 
producing a small area of deep convection near and to the northeast 
of the center, but dry air is entraining into the southern half of 
the circulation. The initial intensity is held at 35 kt, in 
agreement with last night's ASCAT data and the latest satellite 
estimates. Satellite images also suggest that the low-level 
circulation could be losing some definition.
 
The storm is moving rapidly westward at about 21 kt, and that motion
is expected to continue as it remains located to the south of a
strong subtropical ridge. The NHC track forecast lies on the
fast side of the guidance, as most of the models often have a
slow bias for weak systems in this region.
 
The combination of increasing southerly vertical wind shear, dry 
air, and Dolly's fast forward speed should limit any notable 
intensification. In fact, all of the reliable models show the storm 
gradually losing strength and degenerating into a trough of low 
pressure before it reaches the Lesser Antilles this weekend. 
Post-tropical positions are provided from 36-60 h given the risk of 
gusty winds and heavy rainfall, however, it seems unlikely that 
Dolly will have a closed circulation at those times.
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Heavy rains from Dolly or its remnants could affect the Leeward
Islands late Saturday into Sunday with possible impacts in the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This
heavy rain may produce flash flooding, especially in areas of
higher terrain of the Leeward Islands.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/0900Z 14.5N  44.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  28/1800Z 15.1N  48.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  29/0600Z 15.9N  52.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  29/1800Z 16.6N  57.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 48H  30/0600Z 17.2N  61.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  30/1800Z 18.0N  64.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 3:33 am

Tropical Storm Dolly Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

000
FONT14 KNHC 280833
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042026               
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAINT JOHN     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SABA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 3:33 am

Tropical Storm Dolly Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

000
WTNT24 KNHC 280832
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042026
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  44.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  44.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  43.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N  48.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.9N  52.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.6N  57.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.2N  61.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N  64.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  44.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 3:32 am

Tropical Storm Dolly Public Advisory Number 4

Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026

000
WTNT34 KNHC 280832
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042026
500 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026
 
...DOLLY CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...
...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 44.8W
ABOUT 1145 MI...1840 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
Dolly.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was 
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 44.8 West. Dolly is 
moving quickly toward the west near 24 mph (39 km/h) and this motion 
is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the 
forecast track, this system, or its remnants, should be nearing the 
Leeward Islands this weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Little change in strength is likely during the next couple 
of days, and Dolly is forecast to degenerate into a tropical wave 
before it reaches the Leeward Islands.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
north of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Dolly can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Heavy rain from Dolly could affect the Leeward Islands
late Saturday into Sunday, with rainfall moving into the Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.  This heavy
rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain of
the Leeward Islands.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 3:32 am

Summary for Tropical Storm Dolly (AT4/AL042026)

...DOLLY CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD... ...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS... As of 5:00 AM AST Fri Aug 28 the center of Dolly was located near 14.5, -44.8 with movement W at 24 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 3:32 am

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

383
ABNT20 KNHC 280517
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 28 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dolly, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Posted on 28 August 2026 | 12:17 am

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