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Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
787880828587888988868279
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
626364667073757574726864
Average Sea Temp - F°
777776788082848484838178
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
1.41.10.91.55.26.03.13.94.76.62.71.9
Number of Rain Days
766711111213131286

Currently: Partly Sunny: 78F
Currently in Georgetown, BS: 78 °F and Partly Sunny

10/8/2025 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 78 F A shower and thunderstorm

10/9/2025 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 78 F A couple of thunderstorms

Georgetown - Exuma Bahamas Extended Weather Forecast

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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of America

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151127
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 6:35 am

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Graphics

Tropical Storm Lorenzo 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 15 Oct 2025 08:36:45 GMT

Tropical Storm Lorenzo 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 15 Oct 2025 09:22:20 GMT

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 4:22 am

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Discussion Number 9

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Oct 15 2025

337 
WTNT42 KNHC 150835
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
500 AM AST Wed Oct 15 2025

While convection associated with Lorenzo has increased during the 
last few hours, satellite imagery suggests the circulation is 
becoming elongated north-south as it becomes embedded in the 
mid-latitude westerlies.  Satellite intensity estimates are 
generally in the 30-40 kt range, and the initial intensity will be 
held at 35 kt.

Lorenzo has turned northward with the initial motion now 010/11 kt. 
A turn toward the northeast at a faster forward speed is expected 
later today as the system encounters stronger southwesterly flow, 
and this general motion should continue until the system 
dissipates. The new forecast track is a little to the southeast of 
the previous track and lies close to the various consensus models.

The dynamical guidance continues to indicate that Lorenzo will 
degenerate to a trough due to shear and dry air intrusion, with 
most of the models showing this happening during the next 24 h. The 
new intensity forecast moves up the time of dissipation to between 
24-36 h, and Lorenzo could dissipate earlier than that.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/0900Z 20.5N  45.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  15/1800Z 22.9N  43.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  16/0600Z 25.7N  40.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 3:35 am

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2025

313 
FONT12 KNHC 150835
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122025               
0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 3:35 am

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 9

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Oct 15 2025

312 
WTNT32 KNHC 150835
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
500 AM AST Wed Oct 15 2025
 
...LORENZO STILL A TROPICAL STORM BUT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY
THURSDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 45.1W
ABOUT 1415 MI...2280 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was
located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 45.1 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the 
northeast and a faster forward speed are expected later today.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast and Lorenzo is forecast to
dissipate by Thursday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 3:35 am

Summary for Tropical Storm Lorenzo (AT2/AL122025)

...LORENZO STILL A TROPICAL STORM BUT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Oct 15 the center of Lorenzo was located near 20.5, -45.1 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 3:35 am

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 9

Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2025

013 
WTNT22 KNHC 150834
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122025
0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  45.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  45.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  45.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.9N  43.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.7N  40.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  45.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Posted on 15 October 2025 | 3:34 am

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